Monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent heavy rainfall across Metro Manila are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for August 12. PAGASA outlooks show highs of 30–33°C amid 80–90% rain chances tied to the southwest monsoon and nearby low-pressure systems, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet persistent habagat activity this week has kept recent daily maxima closer to 29–30°C. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing on August 11 could shift probabilities if rainfall intensity eases or a clearer slot allows stronger afternoon heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日马尼拉气温最高？
8月12日马尼拉气温最高？
30°C 43%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
22%
30°C
43%
31°C
27%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C或更高
<1%
30°C 43%
31°C 27%
29°C 22%
32°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
24°C或以下
$396 交易量
<1%
25°C
$432 交易量
<1%
26°C
$51 交易量
1%
27°C
$58 交易量
2%
28°C
$149 交易量
6%
29°C
$51 交易量
22%
30°C
$55 交易量
43%
31°C
$73 交易量
27%
32°C
$324 交易量
7%
33°C
$311 交易量
1%
34°C或更高
$145 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent heavy rainfall across Metro Manila are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for August 12. PAGASA outlooks show highs of 30–33°C amid 80–90% rain chances tied to the southwest monsoon and nearby low-pressure systems, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet persistent habagat activity this week has kept recent daily maxima closer to 29–30°C. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing on August 11 could shift probabilities if rainfall intensity eases or a clearer slot allows stronger afternoon heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$2,048结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Monsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent heavy rainfall across Metro Manila are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for August 12. PAGASA outlooks show highs of 30–33°C amid 80–90% rain chances tied to the southwest monsoon and nearby low-pressure systems, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet persistent habagat activity this week has kept recent daily maxima closer to 29–30°C. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing on August 11 could shift probabilities if rainfall intensity eases or a clearer slot allows stronger afternoon heating.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,048结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ETMonsoon-driven cloud cover and frequent heavy rainfall across Metro Manila are the main factors anchoring trader consensus around a 29–31°C peak for August 12. PAGASA outlooks show highs of 30–33°C amid 80–90% rain chances tied to the southwest monsoon and nearby low-pressure systems, which limit solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August averages near 31°C provide context, yet persistent habagat activity this week has kept recent daily maxima closer to 29–30°C. Updated model runs and the next PAGASA briefing on August 11 could shift probabilities if rainfall intensity eases or a clearer slot allows stronger afternoon heating.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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