Recent Met Office and model guidance highlight a building high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow advecting warmer continental air into southeast England, driving the market’s tight clustering around 26–27 °C for London’s 10 August maximum. This setup favors mostly clear skies and light winds that maximize daytime heating, though modest model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 25 °C and 28 °C within a few probability points. Historical August climatology places mean highs near 22 °C, so current anomalies reflect the broader above-average signal noted in longer-range outlooks. Traders will watch the next 48-hour forecast cycles and any revisions to 850 hPa temperatures for shifts in implied odds ahead of official Met Office verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日伦敦气温最高？
8月10日伦敦气温最高？
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 22%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
22%
26°C
28%
27°C
32%
28°C
14%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 32%
26°C 28%
25°C 22%
28°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
22°C or below
$133 交易量
<1%
23°C
$115 交易量
<1%
24°C
$118 交易量
3%
25°C
$867 交易量
22%
26°C
$166 交易量
28%
27°C
$203 交易量
32%
28°C
$168 交易量
14%
29°C
$152 交易量
7%
30°C
$247 交易量
2%
31°C
$178 交易量
<1%
32°C or higher
$396 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and model guidance highlight a building high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow advecting warmer continental air into southeast England, driving the market’s tight clustering around 26–27 °C for London’s 10 August maximum. This setup favors mostly clear skies and light winds that maximize daytime heating, though modest model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 25 °C and 28 °C within a few probability points. Historical August climatology places mean highs near 22 °C, so current anomalies reflect the broader above-average signal noted in longer-range outlooks. Traders will watch the next 48-hour forecast cycles and any revisions to 850 hPa temperatures for shifts in implied odds ahead of official Met Office verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$2,744结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and model guidance highlight a building high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow advecting warmer continental air into southeast England, driving the market’s tight clustering around 26–27 °C for London’s 10 August maximum. This setup favors mostly clear skies and light winds that maximize daytime heating, though modest model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 25 °C and 28 °C within a few probability points. Historical August climatology places mean highs near 22 °C, so current anomalies reflect the broader above-average signal noted in longer-range outlooks. Traders will watch the next 48-hour forecast cycles and any revisions to 850 hPa temperatures for shifts in implied odds ahead of official Met Office verification.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,744结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:01 AM ETRecent Met Office and model guidance highlight a building high-pressure ridge and southerly airflow advecting warmer continental air into southeast England, driving the market’s tight clustering around 26–27 °C for London’s 10 August maximum. This setup favors mostly clear skies and light winds that maximize daytime heating, though modest model spread in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 25 °C and 28 °C within a few probability points. Historical August climatology places mean highs near 22 °C, so current anomalies reflect the broader above-average signal noted in longer-range outlooks. Traders will watch the next 48-hour forecast cycles and any revisions to 850 hPa temperatures for shifts in implied odds ahead of official Met Office verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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