Recent forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a maximum of 13°C in Wellington on August 8, with a chance of reaching 14°C under northerly flow, driving the market's 52.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities respectively. August climatology shows average daily highs near 13–14°C, moderated by the surrounding ocean and frequent southerly winds that suppress temperatures; current conditions feature light winds, limited cloud cover, and no strong cold fronts expected overnight. Official guidance highlights minimal warming potential beyond 14°C and low odds of dropping to 12°C or below, consistent with recent stable model runs and the absence of significant atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月8日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 53%
14°C 38%
12°C 5%
15°C 5%
最新
$17,727 交易量
最新
$17,727 交易量
2026-08-08
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
5%
13°C
53%
14°C
38%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 53%
14°C 38%
12°C 5%
15°C 5%
最新
$17,727 交易量
最新
$17,727 交易量
2026-08-08
7°C or below
$522 交易量
<1%
8°C
$521 交易量
<1%
9°C
$689 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,602 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,640 交易量
2%
12°C
$1,329 交易量
5%
13°C
$2,628 交易量
53%
14°C
$3,882 交易量
38%
15°C
$3,269 交易量
5%
16°C
$709 交易量
<1%
17°C or higher
$934 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a maximum of 13°C in Wellington on August 8, with a chance of reaching 14°C under northerly flow, driving the market's 52.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities respectively. August climatology shows average daily highs near 13–14°C, moderated by the surrounding ocean and frequent southerly winds that suppress temperatures; current conditions feature light winds, limited cloud cover, and no strong cold fronts expected overnight. Official guidance highlights minimal warming potential beyond 14°C and low odds of dropping to 12°C or below, consistent with recent stable model runs and the absence of significant atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$17,727结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a maximum of 13°C in Wellington on August 8, with a chance of reaching 14°C under northerly flow, driving the market's 52.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities respectively. August climatology shows average daily highs near 13–14°C, moderated by the surrounding ocean and frequent southerly winds that suppress temperatures; current conditions feature light winds, limited cloud cover, and no strong cold fronts expected overnight. Official guidance highlights minimal warming potential beyond 14°C and low odds of dropping to 12°C or below, consistent with recent stable model runs and the absence of significant atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,727结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent forecasts from MetService and supporting models indicate a maximum of 13°C in Wellington on August 8, with a chance of reaching 14°C under northerly flow, driving the market's 52.5% and 37.5% implied probabilities respectively. August climatology shows average daily highs near 13–14°C, moderated by the surrounding ocean and frequent southerly winds that suppress temperatures; current conditions feature light winds, limited cloud cover, and no strong cold fronts expected overnight. Official guidance highlights minimal warming potential beyond 14°C and low odds of dropping to 12°C or below, consistent with recent stable model runs and the absence of significant atmospheric shifts in the past 48 hours. Traders are weighting these consensus outputs heavily ahead of final observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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