Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月7日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
11°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
25%
13°C
56%
14°C
17%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 56%
12°C 25%
14°C 17%
11°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
7°C or below
$407 交易量
<1%
8°C
$150 交易量
<1%
9°C
$106 交易量
<1%
10°C
$103 交易量
1%
11°C
$178 交易量
3%
12°C
$205 交易量
25%
13°C
$428 交易量
56%
14°C
$234 交易量
17%
15°C
$246 交易量
3%
16°C
$10 交易量
2%
17°C or higher
$100 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,168结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,168结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction models and New Zealand's seasonal climate outlook position near-average winter temperatures as the dominant driver, with Wellington's August climatological high around 12°C. NIWA guidance indicates temperatures are most likely near average through the period, supported by typical southerly flow patterns and limited warm advection expected in early August. Recent model consensus points to daytime maxima of 12–13°C on the 7th, aligning with the market's heavy weighting on those outcomes while assigning lower probability to warmer anomalies that would require unusual northerly winds or clearer skies. Short-term forecast updates from agencies like MetService will refine resolution criteria over the next 48 hours as the event window approaches.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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