Recent heat wave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and elevated humidity typical of late summer, are keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated in the Seoul-Incheon region. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily low near 27–28°C for August 7, consistent with current observations around 26–27°C and climatological baselines for early August. This positions the market-implied odds, with 28°C leading at 46.5%, reflecting limited cooling potential before any frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance from KMA and regional model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum, as small shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could alter the outcome within the 27–29°C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日首尔(仁川)气温最低?
28°C 47%
27°C 30%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
30%
28°C
47%
29°C
7%
30℃
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
28°C 47%
27°C 30%
26°C 11%
29°C 7%
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
30%
28°C
47%
29°C
7%
30℃
8%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent heat wave conditions across the Korean Peninsula, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and elevated humidity typical of late summer, are keeping overnight minimum temperatures elevated in the Seoul-Incheon region. Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a likely daily low near 27–28°C for August 7, consistent with current observations around 26–27°C and climatological baselines for early August. This positions the market-implied odds, with 28°C leading at 46.5%, reflecting limited cooling potential before any frontal passage. Updated short-range guidance from KMA and regional model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact minimum, as small shifts in wind patterns or cloud cover could alter the outcome within the 27–29°C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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