Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a London minimum near 14°C overnight into August 7 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or advection of warmer air. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where overnight lows often settle in the 13–15°C range absent strong synoptic influences. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions and official reporting criteria. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or stronger southerly flow could push readings a degree higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions or localized urban heat-island effects might allow a dip toward 13°C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日伦敦最低气温？
8月7日伦敦最低气温？
14°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$24,835 交易量
$24,835 交易量
2026-08-07
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$24,835 交易量
$24,835 交易量
2026-08-07
10°C或以下
$427 交易量
否
11°C
$2,065 交易量
否
12°C
$1,028 交易量
否
13°C
$3,591 交易量
否
14°C
$7,324 交易量
是
15°C
$4,094 交易量
否
16°C
$2,770 交易量
否
17°C
$2,542 交易量
否
18°C
$501 交易量
否
19°C
$261 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$232 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a London minimum near 14°C overnight into August 7 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or advection of warmer air. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where overnight lows often settle in the 13–15°C range absent strong synoptic influences. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions and official reporting criteria. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or stronger southerly flow could push readings a degree higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions or localized urban heat-island effects might allow a dip toward 13°C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$24,835结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a London minimum near 14°C overnight into August 7 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or advection of warmer air. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where overnight lows often settle in the 13–15°C range absent strong synoptic influences. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions and official reporting criteria. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or stronger southerly flow could push readings a degree higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions or localized urban heat-island effects might allow a dip toward 13°C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,835结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Latest Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate a London minimum near 14°C overnight into August 7 under clear skies and light winds that promote efficient radiative cooling without significant cloud cover or advection of warmer air. This aligns with typical early-August climatology for the region, where overnight lows often settle in the 13–15°C range absent strong synoptic influences. Market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these stable conditions and official reporting criteria. A sudden increase in low-level moisture or stronger southerly flow could push readings a degree higher, while clearer-than-expected conditions or localized urban heat-island effects might allow a dip toward 13°C, though both outcomes remain low-probability given current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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