Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's August 9 high will likely reach 28–30°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity driven by East Asian monsoon flows. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 29°C (market-implied 48.5%) as the consensus outcome rather than seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Updated numerical predictions highlight increased precipitation chances that day, distinguishing confirmed observational trends from longer-range variability. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels, with 30°C retaining secondary support at 29% amid residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日上海气温最高？
8月9日上海气温最高？
29°C 49%
30°C 30%
28°C 14%
31°C 9%
最新
$35,852 交易量
最新
$35,852 交易量
2026-08-09
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
49%
30°C
30%
31°C
9%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
30°C 30%
28°C 14%
31°C 9%
最新
$35,852 交易量
最新
$35,852 交易量
2026-08-09
24°C or below
$9,949 交易量
<1%
25°C
$6,160 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,596 交易量
1%
27°C
$2,400 交易量
4%
28°C
$2,643 交易量
14%
29°C
$5,058 交易量
49%
30°C
$3,744 交易量
30%
31°C
$2,415 交易量
9%
32°C
$919 交易量
2%
33°C
$618 交易量
<1%
34°C or higher
$350 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's August 9 high will likely reach 28–30°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity driven by East Asian monsoon flows. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 29°C (market-implied 48.5%) as the consensus outcome rather than seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Updated numerical predictions highlight increased precipitation chances that day, distinguishing confirmed observational trends from longer-range variability. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels, with 30°C retaining secondary support at 29% amid residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$35,852结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's August 9 high will likely reach 28–30°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity driven by East Asian monsoon flows. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 29°C (market-implied 48.5%) as the consensus outcome rather than seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Updated numerical predictions highlight increased precipitation chances that day, distinguishing confirmed observational trends from longer-range variability. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels, with 30°C retaining secondary support at 29% amid residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,852结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Shanghai's August 9 high will likely reach 28–30°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity driven by East Asian monsoon flows. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, shifting probabilities toward 29°C (market-implied 48.5%) as the consensus outcome rather than seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Updated numerical predictions highlight increased precipitation chances that day, distinguishing confirmed observational trends from longer-range variability. Traders appear to weigh model consensus on steering patterns and moisture levels, with 30°C retaining secondary support at 29% amid residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题