Current forecast models for Shanghai on August 8 point to minimum overnight temperatures of 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (51.5% implied probability) and 29°C (31.0%). Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate features elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure typically sustain nighttime lows near the early-August climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent model runs incorporating possible moderate rainfall and increased cloud cover suggest limited further cooling, keeping 26°C and below at lower probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance against historical variability in minimum readings. Updated regional forecasts and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日上海最低气温？
8月8日上海最低气温？
28°C 46%
29°C 32%
26°C 15%
27°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25℃
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
8%
28°C
46%
29°C
32%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 46%
29°C 32%
26°C 15%
27°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
22°C或以下
$232 交易量
<1%
23°C
$81 交易量
1%
24°C
$177 交易量
1%
25℃
$167 交易量
2%
26°C
$157 交易量
15%
27°C
$185 交易量
8%
28°C
$815 交易量
46%
29°C
$2,264 交易量
32%
30°C
$681 交易量
6%
31°C
$220 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$106 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai on August 8 point to minimum overnight temperatures of 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (51.5% implied probability) and 29°C (31.0%). Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate features elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure typically sustain nighttime lows near the early-August climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent model runs incorporating possible moderate rainfall and increased cloud cover suggest limited further cooling, keeping 26°C and below at lower probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance against historical variability in minimum readings. Updated regional forecasts and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$5,086结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Shanghai on August 8 point to minimum overnight temperatures of 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (51.5% implied probability) and 29°C (31.0%). Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate features elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure typically sustain nighttime lows near the early-August climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent model runs incorporating possible moderate rainfall and increased cloud cover suggest limited further cooling, keeping 26°C and below at lower probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance against historical variability in minimum readings. Updated regional forecasts and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,086结束日期
2026-08-08市场开放时间
Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent forecast models for Shanghai on August 8 point to minimum overnight temperatures of 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C (51.5% implied probability) and 29°C (31.0%). Shanghai's subtropical monsoon climate features elevated humidity that restricts radiative cooling, while urban heat island effects from dense infrastructure typically sustain nighttime lows near the early-August climatological average of 26–28°C. Recent model runs incorporating possible moderate rainfall and increased cloud cover suggest limited further cooling, keeping 26°C and below at lower probabilities. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric conditions and short-term guidance against historical variability in minimum readings. Updated regional forecasts and observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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