**Current forecasts place Tokyo's August 7 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 33°C (33.5%) and 34°C (30.5%).** The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and extended AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical early-August conditions under a subtropical high, with daytime peaks around the 31.8°C climatological normal. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C in central districts. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave heating, keeping resolution sensitive to final observational data from the Tokyo station. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range where 32–34°C occurs most frequently in early August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日东京气温最高？
8月7日东京气温最高？
33°C 34%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
20%
33°C
34%
34°C
31%
35°C
8%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 34%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
35°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
28°C or below
$24 交易量
1%
29°C
$22 交易量
2%
30°C
$14 交易量
3%
31°C
$5 交易量
8%
32°C
$66 交易量
20%
33°C
$3 交易量
34%
34°C
$64 交易量
31%
35°C
$49 交易量
8%
36°C
$148 交易量
4%
37°C
$39 交易量
2%
38°C or higher
$26 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts place Tokyo's August 7 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 33°C (33.5%) and 34°C (30.5%).** The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and extended AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical early-August conditions under a subtropical high, with daytime peaks around the 31.8°C climatological normal. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C in central districts. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave heating, keeping resolution sensitive to final observational data from the Tokyo station. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range where 32–34°C occurs most frequently in early August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$459结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts place Tokyo's August 7 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 33°C (33.5%) and 34°C (30.5%).** The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and extended AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical early-August conditions under a subtropical high, with daytime peaks around the 31.8°C climatological normal. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C in central districts. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave heating, keeping resolution sensitive to final observational data from the Tokyo station. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range where 32–34°C occurs most frequently in early August.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$459结束日期
2026-08-07市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Current forecasts place Tokyo's August 7 maximum near 32–33°C, aligning with the closely matched market odds favoring 33°C (33.5%) and 34°C (30.5%).** The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest guidance and extended AccuWeather outlooks indicate typical early-August conditions under a subtropical high, with daytime peaks around the 31.8°C climatological normal. Small differences among leading outcomes stem from uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover, sea-breeze strength, and urban heat-island amplification, which can add 1–2°C in central districts. Model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave heating, keeping resolution sensitive to final observational data from the Tokyo station. Traders are weighting the narrow historical range where 32–34°C occurs most frequently in early August.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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