Recent ensemble forecasts from models like those used by AccuWeather and regional agencies point to Guangzhou's August 7 daily maximum centering on 36–38°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and urban heat retention amid typical summer humidity levels near 70–80%. Minor differences among leading outcomes reflect uncertainty in afternoon convective timing or coastal influences that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide baseline context, while short-term updates ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities through refined observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日广州气温最高?
37°C 31%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
33°C 10%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
10%
36°C
26%
37°C
31%
38°C
22%
39°C
5%
40°C或更高
2%
37°C 31%
36°C 26%
38°C 22%
33°C 10%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
10%
36°C
26%
37°C
31%
38°C
22%
39°C
5%
40°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from models like those used by AccuWeather and regional agencies point to Guangzhou's August 7 daily maximum centering on 36–38°C, driven by subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation, and urban heat retention amid typical summer humidity levels near 70–80%. Minor differences among leading outcomes reflect uncertainty in afternoon convective timing or coastal influences that could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Historical August averages near 34°C provide baseline context, while short-term updates ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities through refined observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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