Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle near 27–29°C amid persistent summer warmth, high humidity near 70–80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 28°C (46.5% implied probability) and 29°C (33.0%), as historical August climatology shows typical minima of 25–27°C but current conditions reflect above-average heat with no immediate frontal passages or typhoon influences to drop temperatures further. Trader sentiment reflects the latest model consensus favoring these values, with lower outcomes like 27°C (18.5%) gaining modest support if cloud cover thins overnight. Updated regional forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月7日上海最低气温?
28°C 47%
29°C 35%
27°C 19%
31°C 5%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
35%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
28°C 47%
29°C 35%
27°C 19%
31°C 5%
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
47%
29°C
35%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
<1%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 5, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from models like those referenced by AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle near 27–29°C amid persistent summer warmth, high humidity near 70–80%, and mostly cloudy skies that limit radiative cooling. This aligns with the market's tight clustering around 28°C (46.5% implied probability) and 29°C (33.0%), as historical August climatology shows typical minima of 25–27°C but current conditions reflect above-average heat with no immediate frontal passages or typhoon influences to drop temperatures further. Trader sentiment reflects the latest model consensus favoring these values, with lower outcomes like 27°C (18.5%) gaining modest support if cloud cover thins overnight. Updated regional forecasts and any shifts in steering patterns over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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