Current meteorological models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows of 27–29°C on August 5 under subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 75 percent that limits radiative cooling, and urban heat retention typical of early-August conditions. Slight differences among leading outcomes (28°C at 37 percent, 29°C at 31 percent, 27°C at 24 percent) stem from model variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and any brief precipitation timing, each capable of altering the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical climatology supports this narrow range, with trader consensus reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour forecast details from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日上海最低气温?
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 24%
25°C 15%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
12%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
31%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32℃或更高
<1%
28°C 38%
29°C 31%
27°C 24%
25°C 15%
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
15%
26°C
12%
27°C
24%
28°C
38%
29°C
31%
30°C
9%
31°C
1%
32℃或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current meteorological models for Shanghai indicate overnight lows of 27–29°C on August 5 under subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity above 75 percent that limits radiative cooling, and urban heat retention typical of early-August conditions. Slight differences among leading outcomes (28°C at 37 percent, 29°C at 31 percent, 27°C at 24 percent) stem from model variations in cloud cover, wind speed, and any brief precipitation timing, each capable of altering the minimum by 1–2°C. Historical climatology supports this narrow range, with trader consensus reflecting the inherent uncertainty in 48-hour forecast details from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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