Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show substantial spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, with guidance ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius amid a post-heat-wave transition. The closely matched leading market outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, weak surface winds, and the urban heat island effect at official stations. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France updates suggest a possible influx of cooler maritime air that could suppress the low, while persistent high pressure might maintain warmer conditions. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and any revised guidance on dew points and radiative cooling before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日巴黎最低气温？
8月5日巴黎最低气温？
16°C or below 85%
20°C 35%
19°C 27%
18°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
85%
17°C
11%
18°C
19%
19°C
27%
20°C
35%
21°C
17%
22°C
11%
23°C
11%
24°C
16%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
16°C or below 85%
20°C 35%
19°C 27%
18°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
16°C or below
$32 交易量
85%
17°C
$11 交易量
11%
18°C
$0 交易量
19%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$5 交易量
35%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$0 交易量
11%
23°C
$36 交易量
11%
24°C
$32 交易量
16%
25°C
$22 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$22 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show substantial spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, with guidance ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius amid a post-heat-wave transition. The closely matched leading market outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, weak surface winds, and the urban heat island effect at official stations. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France updates suggest a possible influx of cooler maritime air that could suppress the low, while persistent high pressure might maintain warmer conditions. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and any revised guidance on dew points and radiative cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$159结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show substantial spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, with guidance ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius amid a post-heat-wave transition. The closely matched leading market outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, weak surface winds, and the urban heat island effect at official stations. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France updates suggest a possible influx of cooler maritime air that could suppress the low, while persistent high pressure might maintain warmer conditions. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and any revised guidance on dew points and radiative cooling before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$159结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from European and global ensembles show substantial spread in overnight minimum temperatures for Paris on August 5, with guidance ranging from the mid-teens to low 20s Celsius amid a post-heat-wave transition. The closely matched leading market outcomes reflect this uncertainty in boundary-layer cooling rates, influenced by variable cloud cover, weak surface winds, and the urban heat island effect at official stations. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France updates suggest a possible influx of cooler maritime air that could suppress the low, while persistent high pressure might maintain warmer conditions. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and any revised guidance on dew points and radiative cooling before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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