Recent thundery showers and persistent cloud cover tied to the southwest monsoon have suppressed daytime heating in Hong Kong, anchoring short-term forecasts for August 3 highs near 28–29 °C and producing the market’s tight clustering between 27 °C and 29 °C. High relative humidity reduces the diurnal temperature range while rainfall enhances evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation, preventing the seasonal average of ~31 °C from being reached. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate continued unsettled conditions through the period, with only modest variability expected from steering flow or localized convection. Traders therefore assign low probability to 30 °C or higher outcomes absent a rapid clearing trend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日香港气温最高？
8月3日香港气温最高？
27°C 33%
28°C 32%
29°C 24%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
11%
27°C
33%
28°C
32%
29°C
24%
30°C
12%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 33%
28°C 32%
29°C 24%
30°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-03
22°C or below
$100 交易量
<1%
23°C
$10 交易量
2%
24°C
$40 交易量
1%
25°C
$10 交易量
1%
26°C
$1 交易量
11%
27°C
$78 交易量
33%
28°C
$0 交易量
32%
29°C
$0 交易量
24%
30°C
$0 交易量
12%
31°C
$15 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$8 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thundery showers and persistent cloud cover tied to the southwest monsoon have suppressed daytime heating in Hong Kong, anchoring short-term forecasts for August 3 highs near 28–29 °C and producing the market’s tight clustering between 27 °C and 29 °C. High relative humidity reduces the diurnal temperature range while rainfall enhances evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation, preventing the seasonal average of ~31 °C from being reached. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate continued unsettled conditions through the period, with only modest variability expected from steering flow or localized convection. Traders therefore assign low probability to 30 °C or higher outcomes absent a rapid clearing trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$262结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent thundery showers and persistent cloud cover tied to the southwest monsoon have suppressed daytime heating in Hong Kong, anchoring short-term forecasts for August 3 highs near 28–29 °C and producing the market’s tight clustering between 27 °C and 29 °C. High relative humidity reduces the diurnal temperature range while rainfall enhances evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation, preventing the seasonal average of ~31 °C from being reached. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate continued unsettled conditions through the period, with only modest variability expected from steering flow or localized convection. Traders therefore assign low probability to 30 °C or higher outcomes absent a rapid clearing trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$262结束日期
2026-08-03市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent thundery showers and persistent cloud cover tied to the southwest monsoon have suppressed daytime heating in Hong Kong, anchoring short-term forecasts for August 3 highs near 28–29 °C and producing the market’s tight clustering between 27 °C and 29 °C. High relative humidity reduces the diurnal temperature range while rainfall enhances evaporative cooling and limits solar insolation, preventing the seasonal average of ~31 °C from being reached. Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and multi-model consensus indicate continued unsettled conditions through the period, with only modest variability expected from steering flow or localized convection. Traders therefore assign low probability to 30 °C or higher outcomes absent a rapid clearing trend.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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