Persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer moisture lingering from Typhoon Noul’s passage on July 26 continue to suppress daytime heating across Hong Kong, keeping official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 2 centered on a 24–28 °C range with frequent showers. Multiple forecast models indicate southeasterly flow and high humidity favoring afternoon convection that caps maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal 31 °C climatological average. These conditions concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 26–28 °C outcomes, with 27 °C leading as the mode. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of the August 2 observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift consensus within the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日香港气温最高？
8月2日香港气温最高？
27°C 41%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
最新
$12,851 交易量
最新
$12,851 交易量
2026-08-02
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
27%
27°C
41%
28°C
24%
29°C
8%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 27%
28°C 24%
29°C 8%
最新
$12,851 交易量
最新
$12,851 交易量
2026-08-02
21°C or below
$394 交易量
<1%
22°C
$562 交易量
<1%
23°C
$459 交易量
<1%
24°C
$359 交易量
<1%
25°C
$2,318 交易量
3%
26°C
$2,231 交易量
27%
27°C
$1,986 交易量
41%
28°C
$1,212 交易量
24%
29°C
$993 交易量
8%
30°C
$828 交易量
4%
31°C or higher
$1,509 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer moisture lingering from Typhoon Noul’s passage on July 26 continue to suppress daytime heating across Hong Kong, keeping official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 2 centered on a 24–28 °C range with frequent showers. Multiple forecast models indicate southeasterly flow and high humidity favoring afternoon convection that caps maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal 31 °C climatological average. These conditions concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 26–28 °C outcomes, with 27 °C leading as the mode. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of the August 2 observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift consensus within the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$12,851结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer moisture lingering from Typhoon Noul’s passage on July 26 continue to suppress daytime heating across Hong Kong, keeping official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 2 centered on a 24–28 °C range with frequent showers. Multiple forecast models indicate southeasterly flow and high humidity favoring afternoon convection that caps maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal 31 °C climatological average. These conditions concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 26–28 °C outcomes, with 27 °C leading as the mode. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of the August 2 observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift consensus within the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$12,851结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer moisture lingering from Typhoon Noul’s passage on July 26 continue to suppress daytime heating across Hong Kong, keeping official Hong Kong Observatory guidance for August 2 centered on a 24–28 °C range with frequent showers. Multiple forecast models indicate southeasterly flow and high humidity favoring afternoon convection that caps maximum temperatures near or below the seasonal 31 °C climatological average. These conditions concentrate market-implied probabilities on the 26–28 °C outcomes, with 27 °C leading as the mode. Updated short-range guidance and any clearing trends ahead of the August 2 observation window remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift consensus within the narrow 26–28 °C cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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