Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 25°C for Toronto on August 2 under cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with model consensus tempered by variable cloud cover that reduces solar insolation and potential convective cooling. Trader consensus favoring 22–24°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and precipitation intensity, as even modest increases in cloud albedo or shower coverage can suppress maxima by 1–3°C relative to clearer analogs. Historical August baselines near 24–26°C provide context, but short-range ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next model update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日多伦多气温最高?
23°C 32%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
26%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 32%
24°C 26%
22°C 25%
25°C 14%
20°C or below
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
25%
23°C
32%
24°C
26%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from Environment Canada indicate a high near 25°C for Toronto on August 2 under cloudy skies and a 40% chance of showers, with model consensus tempered by variable cloud cover that reduces solar insolation and potential convective cooling. Trader consensus favoring 22–24°C outcomes reflects forecast uncertainty around exact peak timing and precipitation intensity, as even modest increases in cloud albedo or shower coverage can suppress maxima by 1–3°C relative to clearer analogs. Historical August baselines near 24–26°C provide context, but short-range ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture ahead of the next model update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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