National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 77°F for San Francisco on August 2, driven by a gradual warming trend under upper-level ridging and reduced marine layer influence along the coast. This positions the 76–77°F bin as the market leader, reflecting typical August maxima of 70–73°F at official stations like KSFO plus modest offshore flow that limits fog and allows slight inland warming without a full heat event. Model consensus supports temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s range, with historical analogs showing rare exceedances above 80°F this early in the month. Updated NWS briefings and final observational data will determine resolution within the narrow probability bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日旧金山气温最高？
8月2日旧金山气温最高？
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
67°F或以下
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
23%
76-77°F
36%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
13%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
华氏86度或更高
<1%
76-77°F 36%
74-75°F 23%
78-79°F 23%
80-81°F 13%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
67°F或以下
$1,361 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$32 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$26 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$5 交易量
6%
74-75°F
$509 交易量
23%
76-77°F
$16 交易量
36%
78-79°F
$74 交易量
23%
80-81°F
$205 交易量
13%
82-83°F
$953 交易量
1%
84-85°F
$889 交易量
1%
华氏86度或更高
$961 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 77°F for San Francisco on August 2, driven by a gradual warming trend under upper-level ridging and reduced marine layer influence along the coast. This positions the 76–77°F bin as the market leader, reflecting typical August maxima of 70–73°F at official stations like KSFO plus modest offshore flow that limits fog and allows slight inland warming without a full heat event. Model consensus supports temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s range, with historical analogs showing rare exceedances above 80°F this early in the month. Updated NWS briefings and final observational data will determine resolution within the narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,029结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 77°F for San Francisco on August 2, driven by a gradual warming trend under upper-level ridging and reduced marine layer influence along the coast. This positions the 76–77°F bin as the market leader, reflecting typical August maxima of 70–73°F at official stations like KSFO plus modest offshore flow that limits fog and allows slight inland warming without a full heat event. Model consensus supports temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s range, with historical analogs showing rare exceedances above 80°F this early in the month. Updated NWS briefings and final observational data will determine resolution within the narrow probability bands.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,029结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly sunny conditions with highs near 77°F for San Francisco on August 2, driven by a gradual warming trend under upper-level ridging and reduced marine layer influence along the coast. This positions the 76–77°F bin as the market leader, reflecting typical August maxima of 70–73°F at official stations like KSFO plus modest offshore flow that limits fog and allows slight inland warming without a full heat event. Model consensus supports temperatures in the mid-70s to low-80s range, with historical analogs showing rare exceedances above 80°F this early in the month. Updated NWS briefings and final observational data will determine resolution within the narrow probability bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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