Trader consensus on Miami’s August 2 overnight low centers on 80–81 °F (41 % implied probability) because current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance from NOAA project a typical midsummer nocturnal minimum near 79–81 °F under persistent tropical moisture and light winds. High dew points (near 75 °F) limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters keep surface temperatures elevated; climatological normals for early August place the average low at 78–79 °F, with recent model runs showing only modest day-to-day variability. The secondary 82–83 °F bin (27 %) captures any slight warming from increased cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze onset, while the 78–79 °F tier (24.5 %) reflects the lower tail of forecast spreads if clearer skies develop overnight. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the market’s top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日迈阿密最低气温？
8月2日迈阿密最低气温？
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
69°F或更低
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
25%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
1%
88°F或更高
1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 25%
76-77°F 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
69°F或更低
$73 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$93 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$128 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$115 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$48 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$87 交易量
25%
80-81°F
$245 交易量
41%
82-83°F
$176 交易量
27%
84-85°F
$136 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$67 交易量
1%
88°F或更高
$487 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Miami’s August 2 overnight low centers on 80–81 °F (41 % implied probability) because current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance from NOAA project a typical midsummer nocturnal minimum near 79–81 °F under persistent tropical moisture and light winds. High dew points (near 75 °F) limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters keep surface temperatures elevated; climatological normals for early August place the average low at 78–79 °F, with recent model runs showing only modest day-to-day variability. The secondary 82–83 °F bin (27 %) captures any slight warming from increased cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze onset, while the 78–79 °F tier (24.5 %) reflects the lower tail of forecast spreads if clearer skies develop overnight. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the market’s top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$1,651结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on Miami’s August 2 overnight low centers on 80–81 °F (41 % implied probability) because current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance from NOAA project a typical midsummer nocturnal minimum near 79–81 °F under persistent tropical moisture and light winds. High dew points (near 75 °F) limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters keep surface temperatures elevated; climatological normals for early August place the average low at 78–79 °F, with recent model runs showing only modest day-to-day variability. The secondary 82–83 °F bin (27 %) captures any slight warming from increased cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze onset, while the 78–79 °F tier (24.5 %) reflects the lower tail of forecast spreads if clearer skies develop overnight. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the market’s top outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,651结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader consensus on Miami’s August 2 overnight low centers on 80–81 °F (41 % implied probability) because current National Weather Service and ensemble guidance from NOAA project a typical midsummer nocturnal minimum near 79–81 °F under persistent tropical moisture and light winds. High dew points (near 75 °F) limit radiational cooling, while the urban heat-island effect and warm Atlantic/Gulf waters keep surface temperatures elevated; climatological normals for early August place the average low at 78–79 °F, with recent model runs showing only modest day-to-day variability. The secondary 82–83 °F bin (27 %) captures any slight warming from increased cloud cover or delayed sea-breeze onset, while the 78–79 °F tier (24.5 %) reflects the lower tail of forecast spreads if clearer skies develop overnight. No significant frontal passages or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before the 24-hour verification window closes, keeping the distribution tightly clustered around the market’s top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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