Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 74°F in New York City on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points, and light winds that suppress radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the market-implied 45% probability on 74-75°F and secondary support for 72-77°F ranges, consistent with climatological August minima around 68°F but shifted warmer by the current pattern. Warmer-than-average seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce trader positioning, though forecast revisions from incoming model runs could adjust odds if a stronger onshore breeze or clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月2日的最低温度？
纽约市8月2日的最低温度？
74-75°F 45%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
63华氏度或更低
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
24%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
23%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
1%
82°F或更高
1%
74-75°F 45%
72-73°F 24%
76-77°F 23%
78-79°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-02
63华氏度或更低
$67 交易量
<1%
64-65°F
$1,118 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$82 交易量
1%
68-69°F
$64 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$47 交易量
5%
72-73°F
$100 交易量
24%
74-75°F
$593 交易量
45%
76-77°F
$65 交易量
23%
78-79°F
$71 交易量
9%
80-81°F
$67 交易量
1%
82°F或更高
$35 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 74°F in New York City on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points, and light winds that suppress radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the market-implied 45% probability on 74-75°F and secondary support for 72-77°F ranges, consistent with climatological August minima around 68°F but shifted warmer by the current pattern. Warmer-than-average seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce trader positioning, though forecast revisions from incoming model runs could adjust odds if a stronger onshore breeze or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$2,308结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 74°F in New York City on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points, and light winds that suppress radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the market-implied 45% probability on 74-75°F and secondary support for 72-77°F ranges, consistent with climatological August minima around 68°F but shifted warmer by the current pattern. Warmer-than-average seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce trader positioning, though forecast revisions from incoming model runs could adjust odds if a stronger onshore breeze or clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,308结束日期
2026-08-02市场开放时间
Jul 31, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance point to an overnight low near 74°F in New York City on August 2, driven by persistent southerly flow, elevated dew points, and light winds that suppress radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. This setup aligns with the market-implied 45% probability on 74-75°F and secondary support for 72-77°F ranges, consistent with climatological August minima around 68°F but shifted warmer by the current pattern. Warmer-than-average seasonal outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center reinforce trader positioning, though forecast revisions from incoming model runs could adjust odds if a stronger onshore breeze or clearer skies develop.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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