National Weather Service forecasts for Austin point to a high near 100°F on August 2 amid building summer heat, with model guidance showing surface temperatures supported by strong insolation yet tempered by 20-30% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances. Trader sentiment splits closely between the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins because convective development or increased cloud cover can suppress the daily maximum by 1-3°F through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, while clearer skies or delayed storms would allow readings to reach or exceed 101°F. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 99°F, underscoring how small shifts in moisture and timing will determine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日奥斯汀的最高温度?
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 35%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 8%
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
98-99°F 38%
100-101°F 35%
102-103°F 14%
104-105°F 8%
91°F或以下
<1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
3%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
38%
100-101°F
35%
102-103°F
14%
104-105°F
8%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Austin point to a high near 100°F on August 2 amid building summer heat, with model guidance showing surface temperatures supported by strong insolation yet tempered by 20-30% afternoon shower and thunderstorm chances. Trader sentiment splits closely between the 98-99°F and 100-101°F bins because convective development or increased cloud cover can suppress the daily maximum by 1-3°F through reduced solar heating and evaporative cooling, while clearer skies or delayed storms would allow readings to reach or exceed 101°F. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 99°F, underscoring how small shifts in moisture and timing will determine the exact peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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