Trader consensus centers on mid-to-upper 80s°F highs for Atlanta on August 2, reflecting NWS guidance of a high near 86°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Primary scientific drivers include southerly flow advecting moist air, widespread convective inhibition from cloud cover and evaporative cooling, and modest steering winds that favor brief but effective thunderstorm development during peak heating hours. These factors differentiate the narrow 86–89°F bands from higher or lower bins, as model runs show sensitivity to exact timing and coverage of convection versus any breaks of stronger insolation. With typical August climatology near 88–89°F and no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection signal in place, the market-implied odds capture genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer thermodynamics and mesoscale details expected to resolve with updated model guidance and observations through the evening of August 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日亚特兰大最高温度?
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 15%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96华氏度或更高
1%
88-89°F 31%
86-87°F 28%
84-85°F 22%
90-91°F 15%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
22%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
31%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96华氏度或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus centers on mid-to-upper 80s°F highs for Atlanta on August 2, reflecting NWS guidance of a high near 86°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms that limit afternoon heating. Primary scientific drivers include southerly flow advecting moist air, widespread convective inhibition from cloud cover and evaporative cooling, and modest steering winds that favor brief but effective thunderstorm development during peak heating hours. These factors differentiate the narrow 86–89°F bands from higher or lower bins, as model runs show sensitivity to exact timing and coverage of convection versus any breaks of stronger insolation. With typical August climatology near 88–89°F and no strong high-pressure ridge or heat advection signal in place, the market-implied odds capture genuine forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer thermodynamics and mesoscale details expected to resolve with updated model guidance and observations through the evening of August 1.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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