Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日巴黎最高气温？
7月31日巴黎最高气温？
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
27°C or below
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
34%
30°C
37%
31°C
10%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
2%
37°C或更高
<1%
30°C 37%
29°C 34%
28°C 18%
31°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-31
27°C or below
$51 交易量
5%
28°C
$34 交易量
18%
29°C
$205 交易量
34%
30°C
$285 交易量
37%
31°C
$0 交易量
10%
32°C
$15 交易量
4%
33°C
$77 交易量
2%
34°C
$25 交易量
2%
35°C
$20 交易量
2%
36°C
$15 交易量
2%
37°C或更高
$215 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$943结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$943结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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