Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models such as those aggregated by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a July 31 high near 33°C in Karachi, with possible afternoon sea-breeze moderation and scattered monsoon cloud cover limiting radiative heating. Persistent above-normal rainfall and humidity typical of late-July monsoon conditions in Sindh have kept daily maxima clustered between 32–35°C over the past week, preventing the stronger thermal buildup seen in drier years. Market odds clustered around 34–35°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized convective cells, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ align with historical analogs showing rare exceedances when monsoon moisture arrives early. Updated NWP runs and official briefings expected before July 31 will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月31日卡拉奇的最高温度?
35°C 41%
34°C 32%
36°C 16%
33°C 11%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
32%
35°C
41%
36°C
16%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或更高
1%
35°C 41%
34°C 32%
36°C 16%
33°C 11%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
32%
35°C
41%
36°C
16%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models such as those aggregated by timeanddate and AccuWeather point to a July 31 high near 33°C in Karachi, with possible afternoon sea-breeze moderation and scattered monsoon cloud cover limiting radiative heating. Persistent above-normal rainfall and humidity typical of late-July monsoon conditions in Sindh have kept daily maxima clustered between 32–35°C over the past week, preventing the stronger thermal buildup seen in drier years. Market odds clustered around 34–35°C reflect uncertainty in exact cloud timing and localized convective cells, while lower probabilities for 36°C+ align with historical analogs showing rare exceedances when monsoon moisture arrives early. Updated NWP runs and official briefings expected before July 31 will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题