Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a building heat dome over North Texas, with forecast highs for Dallas on August 2 centering near 98–100 °F under mostly sunny skies and light winds. This positions the 96–97 °F and 98–99 °F bins as near-even frontrunners, reflecting modest uncertainty in maximum temperature tied to afternoon mixing depth, dew-point suppression, and any thin high-cloud cover. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks near 99 °F, while the current setup lacks significant moisture or frontal passage that could cap readings below 96 °F or push them toward 102 °F. Updated model cycles and NWS morning briefings tomorrow morning represent the next key data points likely to shift market-implied odds.