Recent forecasts indicate moderating atmospheric conditions over Chongqing, with model consensus pointing to a high in the mid-20s Celsius on August 3 driven by increased cloud cover, possible precipitation, and a weakening subtropical ridge allowing cooler northerly flow. This contrasts with typical early August climatology of 32–34°C highs under strong high-pressure dominance and high humidity. Short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited daytime heating potential through the weekend, keeping the 26°C outcome as the market leader while supporting nearby 25–27°C probabilities. Updated ensemble runs reinforce this shift from earlier warmer projections, with resolution depending on final observed maximum at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月3日重庆气温最高?
26°C 40%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
23°C及以下
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
14%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 23%
25°C 17%
28°C 14%
23°C及以下
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
17%
26°C
40%
27°C
23%
28°C
14%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts indicate moderating atmospheric conditions over Chongqing, with model consensus pointing to a high in the mid-20s Celsius on August 3 driven by increased cloud cover, possible precipitation, and a weakening subtropical ridge allowing cooler northerly flow. This contrasts with typical early August climatology of 32–34°C highs under strong high-pressure dominance and high humidity. Short-range guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited daytime heating potential through the weekend, keeping the 26°C outcome as the market leader while supporting nearby 25–27°C probabilities. Updated ensemble runs reinforce this shift from earlier warmer projections, with resolution depending on final observed maximum at official stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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