Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C through August 5, consistent with typical early-August conditions moderated by coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity. Trader consensus around 34–35°C reflects model spread in ensemble runs, where slight shifts in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover could allow brief warming episodes above the 30°C climatological baseline. Key variables include potential subtropical ridge influence versus lingering frontal activity, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine intensity and timing ahead of the daily maximum observation window. This uncertainty keeps probabilities closely split among the leading outcomes while underscoring the narrow margin between normal summer variability and an anomalous spike.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日青岛气温最高?
35°C 36%
34°C 32%
36°C或更高 24%
33°C 12%
26℃或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
32%
35°C
36%
36°C或更高
24%
35°C 36%
34°C 32%
36°C或更高 24%
33°C 12%
26℃或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
12%
34°C
32%
35°C
36%
36°C或更高
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 30–31°C through August 5, consistent with typical early-August conditions moderated by coastal sea breezes and moderate humidity. Trader consensus around 34–35°C reflects model spread in ensemble runs, where slight shifts in steering patterns or reduced cloud cover could allow brief warming episodes above the 30°C climatological baseline. Key variables include potential subtropical ridge influence versus lingering frontal activity, with official updates from the China Meteorological Administration expected to refine intensity and timing ahead of the daily maximum observation window. This uncertainty keeps probabilities closely split among the leading outcomes while underscoring the narrow margin between normal summer variability and an anomalous spike.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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