The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日香港最低气温？
8月5日香港最低气温？
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$103,291 交易量
$103,291 交易量
2026-08-05
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$103,291 交易量
$103,291 交易量
2026-08-05
21°C或以下
$541 交易量
否
22°C
$535 交易量
否
23°C
$924 交易量
否
24°C
$3,998 交易量
否
25°C
$4,194 交易量
否
26°C
$37,161 交易量
否
27°C
$41,717 交易量
是
28°C
$7,217 交易量
否
29°C
$4,847 交易量
否
30°C
$563 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$1,596 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$103,291结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$103,291结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The near-certain market consensus on a 27°C minimum for Hong Kong on August 5 stems from official observations by the Hong Kong Observatory, which recorded that exact low at its primary stations under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. This reading aligns with climatological norms for early August, when nighttime temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover that limited radiative cooling. Model runs and nearby station data showed no deviations exceeding measurement uncertainty. A post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could theoretically shift resolution, though such adjustments are rare for verified daily minima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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