Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2 amid the peak rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limiting peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September averages near 30°C and high humidity maintaining elevated heat indices even as winds remain light. Updated numerical guidance and local observations in coming days will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日巴拿马城气温最高?
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 20%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C
36%
33°C or higher
25%
31°C 32%
32°C 30%
33°C or higher 25%
30°C 20%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
14%
31°C
32%
32°C
36%
33°C or higher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Panama City, Panama, point to daytime highs near 29–31°C on September 2 amid the peak rainy season, with afternoon convection and cloud cover from the Intertropical Convergence Zone limiting peak solar heating. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–32°C because models show modest uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Seasonal climatology supports this range, with September averages near 30°C and high humidity maintaining elevated heat indices even as winds remain light. Updated numerical guidance and local observations in coming days will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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