Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日深圳气温最高？
9月1日深圳气温最高？
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
34°C or higher 20%
30°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
11%
30°C
19%
31°C
35%
32°C
25%
33°C
12%
34°C or higher
20%
31°C 35%
32°C 25%
34°C or higher 20%
30°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
24°C or below
$296 交易量
<1%
25°C
$40 交易量
<1%
26°C
$70 交易量
<1%
27°C
$63 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
7%
29°C
$2 交易量
11%
30°C
$200 交易量
19%
31°C
$210 交易量
35%
32°C
$0 交易量
25%
33°C
$0 交易量
12%
34°C or higher
$0 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$881结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts for Shenzhen indicate a highest temperature on September 1 most likely in the 30–32 °C range, with official guidance from the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau highlighting cloudy conditions and thundershowers that will limit daytime heating through cloud cover, high humidity near 80–95 %, and scattered heavy rain. Ensemble model consensus shows maximums around 29–32 °C under northeasterly flow, consistent with seasonal monsoon patterns and the climatological early-September average high of 31 °C. Persistent precipitation risk and lack of strong subsidence favor the market’s heaviest weighting on 31 °C (36 %) and 32 °C (24 %), while drier model runs support the smaller probability mass at 33 °C or above. Updated local guidance issued August 30 reinforces this near-term outlook ahead of the resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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