Recent Met Office guidance positions a 23°C maximum for London on August 30, driven by a mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, bright or sunny spells after Saturday’s rain, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 22–23°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 21°C and the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence that could push readings higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as successive model runs show little scope for 24°C or above, while the urban heat-island effect and modest wind speeds offer only marginal upside. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or timing of showers on the 30th remains the key variable that could nudge the realized high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日伦敦气温最高？
8月30日伦敦气温最高？
23°C 50%
22°C 33%
24°C 10%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
33%
23°C
50%
24°C
10%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
<1%
23°C 50%
22°C 33%
24°C 10%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
17°C or below
$406 交易量
<1%
18°C
$383 交易量
<1%
19°C
$453 交易量
1%
20°C
$477 交易量
3%
21°C
$556 交易量
7%
22°C
$983 交易量
33%
23°C
$2,246 交易量
50%
24°C
$672 交易量
10%
25°C
$381 交易量
3%
26°C
$474 交易量
1%
27°C or higher
$417 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance positions a 23°C maximum for London on August 30, driven by a mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, bright or sunny spells after Saturday’s rain, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 22–23°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 21°C and the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence that could push readings higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as successive model runs show little scope for 24°C or above, while the urban heat-island effect and modest wind speeds offer only marginal upside. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or timing of showers on the 30th remains the key variable that could nudge the realized high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$7,447结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance positions a 23°C maximum for London on August 30, driven by a mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, bright or sunny spells after Saturday’s rain, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 22–23°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 21°C and the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence that could push readings higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as successive model runs show little scope for 24°C or above, while the urban heat-island effect and modest wind speeds offer only marginal upside. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or timing of showers on the 30th remains the key variable that could nudge the realized high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,447结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ETRecent Met Office guidance positions a 23°C maximum for London on August 30, driven by a mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic, bright or sunny spells after Saturday’s rain, and limited daytime heating under variable cloud. Ensemble forecasts cluster tightly around 22–23°C, reflecting typical late-August climatology near 21°C and the absence of strong high-pressure subsidence that could push readings higher. Traders have concentrated probability on these two outcomes as successive model runs show little scope for 24°C or above, while the urban heat-island effect and modest wind speeds offer only marginal upside. Any last-minute shift in cloud cover or timing of showers on the 30th remains the key variable that could nudge the realized high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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