Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime high of 27–34°C in Taipei on August 29, with mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorms expected to develop amid lingering southwesterly flow and residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. This pattern aligns with late-summer climatology, where peak temperatures average near 32°C but are often moderated by cloud cover and convective rainfall that reduces solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Ensemble model guidance and recent runs show limited potential for clearing skies or stronger subsidence that could push readings to 35–36°C, while the risk of heavier showers favors a ceiling near 34°C. Trader positioning around these values reflects the narrow uncertainty window two days out, with any shifts in short-term model consensus or observed moisture trends likely to refine the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日台北气温最高?
35°C 36%
36°C 24%
34°C 21%
33°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
21%
35°C
36%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
36°C 24%
34°C 21%
33°C 8%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
8%
34°C
21%
35°C
36%
36°C
24%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime high of 27–34°C in Taipei on August 29, with mostly cloudy skies and afternoon thunderstorms expected to develop amid lingering southwesterly flow and residual moisture from nearby tropical systems. This pattern aligns with late-summer climatology, where peak temperatures average near 32°C but are often moderated by cloud cover and convective rainfall that reduces solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Ensemble model guidance and recent runs show limited potential for clearing skies or stronger subsidence that could push readings to 35–36°C, while the risk of heavier showers favors a ceiling near 34°C. Trader positioning around these values reflects the narrow uncertainty window two days out, with any shifts in short-term model consensus or observed moisture trends likely to refine the implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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