Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 29, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–18°C under southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a chance of light rain or drizzle that will limit solar heating and keep maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus around these levels reflects the tight clustering of numerical guidance showing peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, consistent with typical August conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. A strengthening El Niño may contribute to broader warmth later in the season, but near-term synoptic patterns dominate this short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date represent the next key data points that could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日开普敦气温最高?
18°C 37%
17℃ 28%
19°C 20%
16°C 17%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
9%
16°C
17%
17℃
28%
18°C
37%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C或更高
1%
18°C 37%
17℃ 28%
19°C 20%
16°C 17%
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
6%
15°C
9%
16°C
17%
17℃
28%
18°C
37%
19°C
20%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a mild winter day in Cape Town on August 29, with daytime highs most likely reaching 17–18°C under southerly winds, extensive cloud cover, and a chance of light rain or drizzle that will limit solar heating and keep maxima below seasonal norms. Trader consensus around these levels reflects the tight clustering of numerical guidance showing peak temperatures in the mid-to-upper teens Celsius, consistent with typical August conditions influenced by the Benguela Current and prevailing westerlies. A strengthening El Niño may contribute to broader warmth later in the season, but near-term synoptic patterns dominate this short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official South African Weather Service guidance ahead of the date represent the next key data points that could shift probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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