Recent clearing after widespread rain and cloud cover on August 27–28 has positioned Beijing for strong daytime heating on the 29th under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds. Official short-range guidance from multiple models now clusters afternoon maxima near 30–32 °C, with the highest readings sensitive to exact timing of peak solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any residual moisture. The tight spread among leading market outcomes (31 °C, 32 °C, and 30 °C) reflects this narrow uncertainty range in forecast soundings and ensemble spread, typical for a post-frontal, high-pressure day two days out when small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日北京气温最高?
31°C 30%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
33°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
23%
31°C
30%
32°C
24%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 30%
32°C 24%
30°C 23%
33°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
9%
30°C
23%
31°C
30%
32°C
24%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent clearing after widespread rain and cloud cover on August 27–28 has positioned Beijing for strong daytime heating on the 29th under mostly sunny skies and light northwesterly winds. Official short-range guidance from multiple models now clusters afternoon maxima near 30–32 °C, with the highest readings sensitive to exact timing of peak solar insolation, boundary-layer mixing depth, and any residual moisture. The tight spread among leading market outcomes (31 °C, 32 °C, and 30 °C) reflects this narrow uncertainty range in forecast soundings and ensemble spread, typical for a post-frontal, high-pressure day two days out when small differences in cloud timing or wind speed can shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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