Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 27, supporting the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Persistent influence of a strong Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through late summer, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered showers in recent model runs are capping potential intensification, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 30–32°C. Forecast uncertainty remains notable due to variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with new observational updates and refined model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to sharpen resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日东京气温最高？
8月27日东京气温最高？
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
27%
32°C
29%
33°C
14%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 29%
31°C 27%
30°C 17%
33°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
27°C or below
$207 交易量
1%
28°C
$110 交易量
2%
29°C
$371 交易量
5%
30°C
$1,061 交易量
17%
31°C
$233 交易量
27%
32°C
$288 交易量
29%
33°C
$68 交易量
14%
34°C
$280 交易量
5%
35°C
$87 交易量
2%
36°C
$972 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$226 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 27, supporting the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Persistent influence of a strong Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through late summer, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered showers in recent model runs are capping potential intensification, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 30–32°C. Forecast uncertainty remains notable due to variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with new observational updates and refined model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to sharpen resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$3,903结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 27, supporting the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Persistent influence of a strong Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through late summer, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered showers in recent model runs are capping potential intensification, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 30–32°C. Forecast uncertainty remains notable due to variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with new observational updates and refined model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to sharpen resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,903结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETLatest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble models indicate a daytime high near 32°C for Tokyo on August 27, supporting the market's tight clustering around 31–33°C outcomes. Persistent influence of a strong Pacific High has sustained above-normal warmth through late summer, yet increasing cloud cover and scattered showers in recent model runs are capping potential intensification, consistent with climatological late-August averages of 30–32°C. Forecast uncertainty remains notable due to variability in steering patterns and humidity levels, with new observational updates and refined model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours likely to sharpen resolution probabilities ahead of market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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