Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and national services, show a high near 27–28°C in Milan on August 25, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected during the day that limit solar heating. This setup has produced the current market concentration on 27°C, with supporting probabilities for 26°C and 28°C reflecting minor timing differences in precipitation and model spread in maximum values. Late-August climatology for the Po Valley typically features highs of 28–30°C under clearer conditions, but the near-term pattern favors modest suppression of peak temperatures. Updated model runs and any shifts in the rain timing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could adjust implied probabilities before resolution.