Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cooling trend for the Pacific Northwest, with scattered showers and onshore flow expected to moderate temperatures in Seattle on August 22, 2026. This follows a warmer-than-average summer driven by persistent ridging, now giving way to a Pacific front that favors marine air intrusion and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Official forecasts cluster daily highs near 72–75°F, consistent with climatological late-August norms around 75°F but tempered by the approaching disturbance. Trader consensus heavily weights the 70–73°F range because these align with ensemble outputs showing limited instability and marine-layer influence, while higher bins reflect only slim upside risk if the front stalls. Upcoming NWS updates and morning model runs will refine landfall timing and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日西雅图的最高温度?
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 44%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 12%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
44%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a cooling trend for the Pacific Northwest, with scattered showers and onshore flow expected to moderate temperatures in Seattle on August 22, 2026. This follows a warmer-than-average summer driven by persistent ridging, now giving way to a Pacific front that favors marine air intrusion and cloud cover limiting daytime heating. Official forecasts cluster daily highs near 72–75°F, consistent with climatological late-August norms around 75°F but tempered by the approaching disturbance. Trader consensus heavily weights the 70–73°F range because these align with ensemble outputs showing limited instability and marine-layer influence, while higher bins reflect only slim upside risk if the front stalls. Upcoming NWS updates and morning model runs will refine landfall timing and cloud cover, the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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