Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日深圳气温最高？
8月21日深圳气温最高？
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
32°C 16%
35°C or higher 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
7%
29°C
14%
30°C
23%
31°C
24%
32°C
16%
33°C
10%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
15%
30°C 30%
31°C 24%
32°C 16%
35°C or higher 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
25°C or below
$107 交易量
<1%
26°C
$35 交易量
4%
27°C
$64 交易量
8%
28°C
$41 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
14%
30°C
$21 交易量
23%
31°C
$0 交易量
24%
32°C
$44 交易量
16%
33°C
$86 交易量
10%
34°C
$18 交易量
5%
35°C or higher
$47 交易量
15%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$463结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$463结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Center and international models indicate Shenzhen will likely see daytime highs near 30–31°C on August 21 amid the East Asian monsoon, with widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers limiting solar heating. These conditions arise from persistent moisture convergence and potential steering influences from nearby tropical systems, which favor convective development that caps afternoon temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Trader consensus reflects this narrow range because ensemble guidance shows only modest disagreements on shower timing and intensity—small shifts in wind patterns or cloud persistence could tip the daily maximum by 1°C either way, while historical August climatology (average highs near 32°C) underscores the moderating effect of current unsettled weather. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide further clarity ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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