Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com point to a Beijing high of 32–33°C on August 19 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances. This consensus aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C amid weakening monsoon influence and stable high-pressure patterns. Model spreads remain narrow due to consistent steering flows and low humidity variability, though minor afternoon convection could shave 1°C or allow brief warming if skies stay clearer. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values, traders appear focused on the next 48-hour model runs and any official China Meteorological Administration updates that could resolve the 1°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日北京气温最高？
8月19日北京气温最高？
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
17%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
15%
35°C
4%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
34°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
27°C or below
$5 交易量
1%
28°C
$5 交易量
1%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30°C
$0 交易量
9%
31°C
$0 交易量
17%
32°C
$0 交易量
29%
33°C
$10 交易量
25%
34°C
$7 交易量
15%
35°C
$0 交易量
4%
36°C
$0 交易量
4%
37°C or higher
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com point to a Beijing high of 32–33°C on August 19 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances. This consensus aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C amid weakening monsoon influence and stable high-pressure patterns. Model spreads remain narrow due to consistent steering flows and low humidity variability, though minor afternoon convection could shave 1°C or allow brief warming if skies stay clearer. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values, traders appear focused on the next 48-hour model runs and any official China Meteorological Administration updates that could resolve the 1°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$37结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com point to a Beijing high of 32–33°C on August 19 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances. This consensus aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C amid weakening monsoon influence and stable high-pressure patterns. Model spreads remain narrow due to consistent steering flows and low humidity variability, though minor afternoon convection could shave 1°C or allow brief warming if skies stay clearer. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values, traders appear focused on the next 48-hour model runs and any official China Meteorological Administration updates that could resolve the 1°C threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from sources including the BBC, Met Office, and Weather.com point to a Beijing high of 32–33°C on August 19 under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds and minimal rain chances. This consensus aligns with late-summer climatology, where average highs decline from early-month peaks near 34°C amid weakening monsoon influence and stable high-pressure patterns. Model spreads remain narrow due to consistent steering flows and low humidity variability, though minor afternoon convection could shave 1°C or allow brief warming if skies stay clearer. With market-implied odds clustered tightly around these values, traders appear focused on the next 48-hour model runs and any official China Meteorological Administration updates that could resolve the 1°C threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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