Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Beijing’s August 17 maximum will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with possible isolated showers, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 32 °C (40.5 %), 31 °C (26 %), and 33 °C (24 %). Mid-August climatology shows typical daily highs declining from early-month peaks above 35 °C toward the seasonal average near 30 °C, as monsoon moisture and regional circulation patterns moderate temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, supporting concentrated trader positioning around these values, while any late adjustment in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or wind could shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月17日北京气温最高？
8月17日北京气温最高？
32°C 41%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
26%
32°C
41%
33°C
24%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
31°C 26%
33°C 24%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-17
27°C or below
$180 交易量
1%
28°C
$35 交易量
<1%
29°C
$398 交易量
2%
30°C
$409 交易量
5%
31°C
$755 交易量
26%
32°C
$261 交易量
41%
33°C
$261 交易量
24%
34°C
$363 交易量
4%
35°C
$130 交易量
1%
36°C
$550 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Beijing’s August 17 maximum will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with possible isolated showers, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 32 °C (40.5 %), 31 °C (26 %), and 33 °C (24 %). Mid-August climatology shows typical daily highs declining from early-month peaks above 35 °C toward the seasonal average near 30 °C, as monsoon moisture and regional circulation patterns moderate temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, supporting concentrated trader positioning around these values, while any late adjustment in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or wind could shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
交易量
$3,729结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Beijing’s August 17 maximum will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with possible isolated showers, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 32 °C (40.5 %), 31 °C (26 %), and 33 °C (24 %). Mid-August climatology shows typical daily highs declining from early-month peaks above 35 °C toward the seasonal average near 30 °C, as monsoon moisture and regional circulation patterns moderate temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, supporting concentrated trader positioning around these values, while any late adjustment in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or wind could shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,729结束日期
2026-08-17市场开放时间
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETRecent forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate Beijing’s August 17 maximum will likely reach 31–33 °C under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with possible isolated showers, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 32 °C (40.5 %), 31 °C (26 %), and 33 °C (24 %). Mid-August climatology shows typical daily highs declining from early-month peaks above 35 °C toward the seasonal average near 30 °C, as monsoon moisture and regional circulation patterns moderate temperatures. Short-range model runs show limited spread, supporting concentrated trader positioning around these values, while any late adjustment in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or wind could shift the realized peak by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题