Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日台北气温最高？
8月16日台北气温最高？
35°C 32%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
7%
34°C
26%
35°C
32%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 32%
34°C 26%
36°C 21%
33°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-16
29°C or below
$362 交易量
<1%
30°C
$224 交易量
<1%
31°C
$263 交易量
1%
32°C
$495 交易量
4%
33°C
$247 交易量
7%
34°C
$1,238 交易量
26%
35°C
$238 交易量
32%
36°C
$773 交易量
21%
37°C
$208 交易量
4%
38°C
$289 交易量
1%
39°C or higher
$217 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$4,554结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,554结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 35–36°C in Taipei on August 16, driven by persistent summer monsoon flow, high humidity, and urban heat island effects that amplify maximum temperatures. Model consensus supports this range amid typical August conditions where daily peaks average near 32°C but frequently reach 34–36°C under clear or partly cloudy skies. Afternoon thunderstorms, common in the season, introduce uncertainty by potentially limiting peak heating through cloud cover or localized cooling, which helps explain the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 34–36°C rather than higher or lower outcomes. Updated model runs and short-range guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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