Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a daytime high of 36°C on August 14, with similar readings the prior day and apparent temperatures reaching 40–41°C amid high humidity. This consensus from regional models, combined with typical mid-August subtropical conditions featuring light winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover before afternoon thunderstorms, underpins the market's leading 36°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 35°C. Recent stable patterns without incoming typhoons or significant frontal systems have kept probabilities clustered in the mid-30s range, with traders monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日台北气温最高？
8月14日台北气温最高？
36°C 40%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
34°C 9%
最新
$10,581 交易量
最新
$10,581 交易量
2026-08-14
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
9%
35°C
28%
36°C
40%
37°C
20%
38°C or higher
2%
36°C 40%
35°C 28%
37°C 20%
34°C 9%
最新
$10,581 交易量
最新
$10,581 交易量
2026-08-14
28°C or below
$475 交易量
<1%
29°C
$264 交易量
<1%
30°C
$267 交易量
<1%
31°C
$204 交易量
1%
32°C
$992 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,717 交易量
2%
34°C
$606 交易量
9%
35°C
$1,707 交易量
28%
36°C
$1,509 交易量
40%
37°C
$2,103 交易量
20%
38°C or higher
$738 交易量
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a daytime high of 36°C on August 14, with similar readings the prior day and apparent temperatures reaching 40–41°C amid high humidity. This consensus from regional models, combined with typical mid-August subtropical conditions featuring light winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover before afternoon thunderstorms, underpins the market's leading 36°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 35°C. Recent stable patterns without incoming typhoons or significant frontal systems have kept probabilities clustered in the mid-30s range, with traders monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$10,581结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a daytime high of 36°C on August 14, with similar readings the prior day and apparent temperatures reaching 40–41°C amid high humidity. This consensus from regional models, combined with typical mid-August subtropical conditions featuring light winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover before afternoon thunderstorms, underpins the market's leading 36°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 35°C. Recent stable patterns without incoming typhoons or significant frontal systems have kept probabilities clustered in the mid-30s range, with traders monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,581结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETOfficial Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei project a daytime high of 36°C on August 14, with similar readings the prior day and apparent temperatures reaching 40–41°C amid high humidity. This consensus from regional models, combined with typical mid-August subtropical conditions featuring light winds, urban heat retention, and limited cloud cover before afternoon thunderstorms, underpins the market's leading 36°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability, followed closely by 35°C. Recent stable patterns without incoming typhoons or significant frontal systems have kept probabilities clustered in the mid-30s range, with traders monitoring the next model updates for any shifts in steering flow or moisture that could alter peak readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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