Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate clear skies and limited precipitation for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 13, supporting a daytime high near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly flow. Trader consensus, with 33°C at 31.5% implied probability and 32–34°C outcomes capturing over 75% of market volume, reflects narrow model spread driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects, and minor steering variations. Historical August baselines average 30–31°C, yet current conditions favor modest above-normal readings absent typhoon or frontal influences. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
33°C 32%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
31°C 15%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
27%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
33°C 32%
32°C 27%
34°C 19%
31°C 15%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
15%
32°C
27%
33°C
32%
34°C
19%
35°C
8%
36°C
6%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 11, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model runs indicate clear skies and limited precipitation for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 13, supporting a daytime high near 33–34°C amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly flow. Trader consensus, with 33°C at 31.5% implied probability and 32–34°C outcomes capturing over 75% of market volume, reflects narrow model spread driven by uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island effects, and minor steering variations. Historical August baselines average 30–31°C, yet current conditions favor modest above-normal readings absent typhoon or frontal influences. Updated short-range guidance and afternoon observations will refine resolution thresholds before market close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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