Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of 33–34°C daily maxima for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, anchor the closely matched market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent high pressure and subsiding easterly flow, partly influenced by distant typhoon dynamics, promote strong daytime solar heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could cap temperatures. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns create uncertainty between 32°C and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance and historical August climatology for the region. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in subsidence strength ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月11日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
23%
33°C
33%
34°C
29%
35°C
10%
36°C
5%
37°C或以上
1%
33°C 33%
34°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
27°C或以下
$360 交易量
<1%
28°C
$122 交易量
<1%
29°C
$10 交易量
1%
30°C
$20 交易量
3%
31°C
$10 交易量
8%
32°C
$25 交易量
23%
33°C
$35 交易量
33%
34°C
$10 交易量
29%
35°C
$1 交易量
10%
36°C
$15 交易量
5%
37°C或以上
$633 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of 33–34°C daily maxima for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, anchor the closely matched market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent high pressure and subsiding easterly flow, partly influenced by distant typhoon dynamics, promote strong daytime solar heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could cap temperatures. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns create uncertainty between 32°C and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance and historical August climatology for the region. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in subsidence strength ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,241结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of 33–34°C daily maxima for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, anchor the closely matched market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent high pressure and subsiding easterly flow, partly influenced by distant typhoon dynamics, promote strong daytime solar heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could cap temperatures. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns create uncertainty between 32°C and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance and historical August climatology for the region. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in subsidence strength ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,241结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, reinforced by Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of 33–34°C daily maxima for Seoul and Incheon on August 11 under mostly clear skies, anchor the closely matched market-implied odds around those thresholds. Persistent high pressure and subsiding easterly flow, partly influenced by distant typhoon dynamics, promote strong daytime solar heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation that could cap temperatures. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns create uncertainty between 32°C and 35°C outcomes, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance and historical August climatology for the region. Updated KMA briefings and any shifts in subsidence strength ahead of resolution will likely drive further adjustments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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