Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to a daily maximum of 27–31°C on August 9, with scattered showers and high humidity from residual tropical moisture likely suppressing peak readings and creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C in trader pricing. Model consensus reflects typical early-August conditions—warm, humid air masses with afternoon convection—but small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any rain bands could easily differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, yet current guidance favors modest cooling from increased moisture and limited insolation. Traders are weighing the next model runs and official updates for confirmation ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日台北气温最高？
8月9日台北气温最高？
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
18%
31°C
22%
32°C
31%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 31%
31°C 22%
30°C 18%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
26°C or below
$1,054 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,388 交易量
1%
28°C
$491 交易量
2%
29°C
$781 交易量
10%
30°C
$633 交易量
18%
31°C
$376 交易量
22%
32°C
$476 交易量
31%
33°C
$328 交易量
12%
34°C
$1,291 交易量
8%
35°C
$580 交易量
4%
36°C or higher
$253 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to a daily maximum of 27–31°C on August 9, with scattered showers and high humidity from residual tropical moisture likely suppressing peak readings and creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C in trader pricing. Model consensus reflects typical early-August conditions—warm, humid air masses with afternoon convection—but small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any rain bands could easily differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, yet current guidance favors modest cooling from increased moisture and limited insolation. Traders are weighing the next model runs and official updates for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$7,650结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to a daily maximum of 27–31°C on August 9, with scattered showers and high humidity from residual tropical moisture likely suppressing peak readings and creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C in trader pricing. Model consensus reflects typical early-August conditions—warm, humid air masses with afternoon convection—but small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any rain bands could easily differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, yet current guidance favors modest cooling from increased moisture and limited insolation. Traders are weighing the next model runs and official updates for confirmation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,650结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei point to a daily maximum of 27–31°C on August 9, with scattered showers and high humidity from residual tropical moisture likely suppressing peak readings and creating the tight clustering around 30–32°C in trader pricing. Model consensus reflects typical early-August conditions—warm, humid air masses with afternoon convection—but small shifts in cloud cover or timing of any rain bands could easily differentiate outcomes by 1–2°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 32–34°C, yet current guidance favors modest cooling from increased moisture and limited insolation. Traders are weighing the next model runs and official updates for confirmation ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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