Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a daily high near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by post-Typhoon Dolphin subsidence that is suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing solar insolation under a strengthening subtropical ridge. This setup favors peak temperatures in the 37–39°C range, consistent with model consensus showing reduced moisture advection and typical August urban heat-island amplification in the Pearl River Delta. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with 38°C edging 37°C as the modal outcome amid lingering uncertainty over exact steering flow and boundary-layer mixing; newer model runs or satellite-derived moisture profiles could shift probabilities if convection redevelops. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 39°C without stronger high-pressure dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日广州气温最高？
8月9日广州气温最高？
38°C 35%
37°C 28%
39°C 19%
36°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
31°C或以下
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
3%
36°C
15%
37°C
28%
38°C
35%
39°C
19%
40°C
6%
41°C或更高
<1%
38°C 35%
37°C 28%
39°C 19%
36°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
31°C或以下
$549 交易量
<1%
32°C
$12 交易量
1%
33°C
$12 交易量
2%
34°C
$37 交易量
4%
35°C
$293 交易量
3%
36°C
$0 交易量
15%
37°C
$0 交易量
28%
38°C
$30 交易量
35%
39°C
$1 交易量
19%
40°C
$44 交易量
6%
41°C或更高
$1,705 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a daily high near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by post-Typhoon Dolphin subsidence that is suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing solar insolation under a strengthening subtropical ridge. This setup favors peak temperatures in the 37–39°C range, consistent with model consensus showing reduced moisture advection and typical August urban heat-island amplification in the Pearl River Delta. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with 38°C edging 37°C as the modal outcome amid lingering uncertainty over exact steering flow and boundary-layer mixing; newer model runs or satellite-derived moisture profiles could shift probabilities if convection redevelops. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 39°C without stronger high-pressure dominance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,684结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological agencies project a daily high near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by post-Typhoon Dolphin subsidence that is suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing solar insolation under a strengthening subtropical ridge. This setup favors peak temperatures in the 37–39°C range, consistent with model consensus showing reduced moisture advection and typical August urban heat-island amplification in the Pearl River Delta. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with 38°C edging 37°C as the modal outcome amid lingering uncertainty over exact steering flow and boundary-layer mixing; newer model runs or satellite-derived moisture profiles could shift probabilities if convection redevelops. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 39°C without stronger high-pressure dominance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,684结束日期
2026-08-09市场开放时间
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETCurrent forecasts from meteorological agencies project a daily high near 38°C in Guangzhou on August 9, driven by post-Typhoon Dolphin subsidence that is suppressing cloud cover and rainfall while enhancing solar insolation under a strengthening subtropical ridge. This setup favors peak temperatures in the 37–39°C range, consistent with model consensus showing reduced moisture advection and typical August urban heat-island amplification in the Pearl River Delta. Trader positioning reflects these dynamics, with 38°C edging 37°C as the modal outcome amid lingering uncertainty over exact steering flow and boundary-layer mixing; newer model runs or satellite-derived moisture profiles could shift probabilities if convection redevelops. Historical August maxima rarely exceed 39°C without stronger high-pressure dominance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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