Recent forecasts from multiple models position Moscow's August 9 high near 22–24 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with climatological normals of 22–24 °C for early August and follows a cooling trend after earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus concentrates on 22–23 °C (70 % combined implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal risk of either pronounced warming or significant cooling from frontal passages. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at Moscow-area stations; any last-minute model shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the final value within the narrow 21–24 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月9日莫斯科最高气温?
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 15%
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
40%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
1%
23°C 40%
22°C 31%
21°C 16%
24°C 15%
19°C或以下
4%
20°C
5%
21°C
16%
22°C
30%
23°C
40%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models position Moscow's August 9 high near 22–24 °C under typical late-summer conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light winds, and no strong advection of warmer air. This aligns with climatological normals of 22–24 °C for early August and follows a cooling trend after earlier seasonal warmth. Trader consensus concentrates on 22–23 °C (70 % combined implied probability) because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability and minimal risk of either pronounced warming or significant cooling from frontal passages. Resolution will depend on the official maximum recorded at Moscow-area stations; any last-minute model shift in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could adjust the final value within the narrow 21–24 °C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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