Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate a shift from peak summer heat, with highs of 34–35°C on August 6–7 giving way to increased cloud cover, showers, and potential flash flooding on August 8 that could limit daytime warming. Subtropical humidity and typical August climatology support highs near 32–34°C, yet model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and timeanddate points to a daily maximum around 28–30°C amid the rain-cooled boundary layer. Trader positioning, with 32°C or higher at 51.5% implied probability, reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, while the clustered support for 30–31°C captures the risk of modest suppression from convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日台北气温最高?
32°C or higher 56%
31°C 20%
30°C 17%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
56%
32°C or higher 56%
31°C 20%
30°C 17%
29°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
10%
30°C
17%
31°C
20%
32°C or higher
56%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts for Taipei indicate a shift from peak summer heat, with highs of 34–35°C on August 6–7 giving way to increased cloud cover, showers, and potential flash flooding on August 8 that could limit daytime warming. Subtropical humidity and typical August climatology support highs near 32–34°C, yet model consensus from sources like the Central Weather Administration and timeanddate points to a daily maximum around 28–30°C amid the rain-cooled boundary layer. Trader positioning, with 32°C or higher at 51.5% implied probability, reflects uncertainty in exact steering patterns and rainfall timing, while the clustered support for 30–31°C captures the risk of modest suppression from convective activity. Updated model runs ahead of the weekend will refine these thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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