Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, position mid-30s readings as the market consensus for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration alerts and short-range models indicate clear skies with light winds favoring afternoon peaks near 34–35°C, consistent with recent Incheon highs of 32–34°C amid El Niño-enhanced seasonal warmth. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this baseline while incorporating forecast uncertainty around potential localized precipitation or subtle steering pattern shifts that could cap or elevate the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current observational trends and KMA guidance support the elevated range until updated model runs or official evening observations refine the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
8月6日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
35°C 47%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
37°C or higher 7.1%
最新
$24,542 交易量
最新
$24,542 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C
25%
35°C
47%
36°C
18%
37°C or higher
7%
35°C 47%
34°C 25%
36°C 18%
37°C or higher 7.1%
最新
$24,542 交易量
最新
$24,542 交易量
2026-08-06
27°C or below
$664 交易量
<1%
28°C
$450 交易量
<1%
29°C
$596 交易量
<1%
30°C
$508 交易量
<1%
31°C
$4,194 交易量
<1%
32°C
$2,254 交易量
<1%
33°C
$3,778 交易量
5%
34°C
$4,068 交易量
25%
35°C
$4,338 交易量
47%
36°C
$1,850 交易量
18%
37°C or higher
$2,015 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, position mid-30s readings as the market consensus for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration alerts and short-range models indicate clear skies with light winds favoring afternoon peaks near 34–35°C, consistent with recent Incheon highs of 32–34°C amid El Niño-enhanced seasonal warmth. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this baseline while incorporating forecast uncertainty around potential localized precipitation or subtle steering pattern shifts that could cap or elevate the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current observational trends and KMA guidance support the elevated range until updated model runs or official evening observations refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$24,542结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, position mid-30s readings as the market consensus for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration alerts and short-range models indicate clear skies with light winds favoring afternoon peaks near 34–35°C, consistent with recent Incheon highs of 32–34°C amid El Niño-enhanced seasonal warmth. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this baseline while incorporating forecast uncertainty around potential localized precipitation or subtle steering pattern shifts that could cap or elevate the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current observational trends and KMA guidance support the elevated range until updated model runs or official evening observations refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,542结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETOngoing heatwave conditions across South Korea, driven by a strong high-pressure system and minimal cloud cover, position mid-30s readings as the market consensus for the Incheon station maximum on August 6. Korea Meteorological Administration alerts and short-range models indicate clear skies with light winds favoring afternoon peaks near 34–35°C, consistent with recent Incheon highs of 32–34°C amid El Niño-enhanced seasonal warmth. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this baseline while incorporating forecast uncertainty around potential localized precipitation or subtle steering pattern shifts that could cap or elevate the daily high. Historical August averages hover near 31°C, but current observational trends and KMA guidance support the elevated range until updated model runs or official evening observations refine the outlook.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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