Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High and Tibetan Plateau anticyclone position the market's leading outcomes of 35°C (35% implied probability), 34°C (24.5%), and 36°C (23.5%) for Busan's August 6 maximum. These systems sustain subsidence and warm advection, with Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave alerts active amid daytime maxima already exceeding 34°C in recent observations. Coastal moderation from the Korea Strait and East Sea introduces sea-breeze cooling and higher humidity, capping peaks below inland records while favoring mid-30s readings over historical August averages of 29–31°C. Ensemble forecast consensus shows limited variability ahead of the next KMA model runs and official observations, with any typhoon-related cloud cover or airflow shifts as the main uncertainty factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日釜山气温最高?
35°C 35%
34°C 25%
36°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
25%
35°C
35%
36°C
24%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
1%
35°C 35%
34°C 25%
36°C 24%
33°C 12%
30°C或以下
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
8%
33°C
12%
34°C
25%
35°C
35%
36°C
24%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent heatwave conditions driven by the North Pacific High and Tibetan Plateau anticyclone position the market's leading outcomes of 35°C (35% implied probability), 34°C (24.5%), and 36°C (23.5%) for Busan's August 6 maximum. These systems sustain subsidence and warm advection, with Korea Meteorological Administration heatwave alerts active amid daytime maxima already exceeding 34°C in recent observations. Coastal moderation from the Korea Strait and East Sea introduces sea-breeze cooling and higher humidity, capping peaks below inland records while favoring mid-30s readings over historical August averages of 29–31°C. Ensemble forecast consensus shows limited variability ahead of the next KMA model runs and official observations, with any typhoon-related cloud cover or airflow shifts as the main uncertainty factors.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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