Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum in Munich of 26–28°C on August 6, with scattered thundery showers and light westerly flow moderating peak heating. This keeps the 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes tightly bunched because small differences in cloud timing or shower onset can shift the recorded high by 1–2°C. Surface observations from the prior warm spell, including a 31°C reading on August 2, support elevated baselines, yet the approaching trough introduces cooling that caps upside risk above 29°C. Official guidance from the German Weather Service and ensemble spreads highlight this narrow range as the dominant resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日慕尼黑气温最高?
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
26°C 24%
29°C or higher 16%
$15,149 交易量
$15,149 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
24%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C or higher
16%
28°C 29%
27°C 28%
26°C 24%
29°C or higher 16%
$15,149 交易量
$15,149 交易量
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
24%
27°C
28%
28°C
29%
29°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a daytime maximum in Munich of 26–28°C on August 6, with scattered thundery showers and light westerly flow moderating peak heating. This keeps the 26°C, 27°C, and 28°C outcomes tightly bunched because small differences in cloud timing or shower onset can shift the recorded high by 1–2°C. Surface observations from the prior warm spell, including a 31°C reading on August 2, support elevated baselines, yet the approaching trough introduces cooling that caps upside risk above 29°C. Official guidance from the German Weather Service and ensemble spreads highlight this narrow range as the dominant resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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